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在设定的最后期限的日期最早的病理基本上保证了时间表将被错过。即使是挑选“最有可能的日期”的策略是不是特别安全，因为对曲线峰值左面积仅三分之一。这表示，有三分之二的机会错过了最后期限。
— Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (华尔兹与熊：软件项目管理风险)
 (book)
by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister
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| Language: | Chinese |
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