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Racer Artzo (artzo)
Race Number 67
Date Sun, 14 Oct 2012 12:56:41 +0000
Speed 83 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 96.3%
Rank 1st place (out of 4)
Opponents senianna (4th place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)