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Racer Zviad (ზვიად) (hausiusi)
Race Number 10097
Date Sun, 17 Aug 2014 18:17:30 +0000
Speed 90 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 95.7%
Rank 1st place (out of 3)
Opponents hmaullon_cl (3rd place) pogomurphisk (2nd place)

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The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)