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Racer Jay (jt1250champion)
Race Number 517
Date Sun, 2 Sep 2012 16:48:24 +0000
Speed 60 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 90.1%
Rank 2nd place (out of 4)
Opponents sanjaaone (3rd place) toolbox (1st place)

Text typed:

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)