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Racer melanie (melanie2525)
Race Number 8069
Date Sun, 17 Jan 2016 11:46:39 +0000
Speed 116 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 98.0%
Rank 1st place (out of 8)
Opponents cocoan (3rd place) eigh (8th place) mayo_tp01 (6th place) olrepth (2nd place) superrare (7th place) tanon710s (5th place)

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The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)