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Racer Stephanie (stephisue)
Race Number 72
Date Sat, 30 Apr 2016 04:53:53 +0000
Speed 49 WPM Try to beat?
Accuracy 89.6%
Rank 4th place (out of 4)
Opponents niravkothari (1st place) transportation (3rd place) trishasespene (2nd place)

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The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.
Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (book) by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister (see stats)